Tuesdays game notes...

[FLII ME]

Boston at NY Islanders......................................... .................................


Boston 13-13-3 away, 32-23-4 overall.
NYI 13-11-4 at home, 29-22-6 on season.

Boston 4-1-1 last 10
NYI 4-1-1 last 10

These teams have met twice this season, each winning on home ice. Boston 4-2 Dec 22 (Osgood and Dafoe), NYI 5-4 Jan 12 (Snow and Grahame).


Last 8 meetings went over.
Over hit 4 of last 5 Boston road games.
Over is 7-3 last 10 Islander games.

Bruins are tied with Flyers for first place in Conference, with 75 points. Only 3 teams in E. Conf have more than 70, so some cushion here. Boston has 23 more game in season.

Boston's Lapointe missed last few games with hamstring injury, sez he'll be ready to play tues

Am i posting this info in the right location??? Or should it be in teh rivalry section???


Thanks

[FLII ME]

New Jersey at NY Rangers
NJ 10-13-5 away, 25-24-9 on season
NYR 16-11-2 at home, 27-28-4 overall

Three meetings this season. Each team winning once on home ice (4-3 OT in NY 10/17, 6-4 in swamp 1\17). One 2-2 tie in the Garden, 12/19. Richter and Brodeur in the crease for all three.

NJ is 4-2-4 vs NYR last 10 meetings, going back to Feb 2000.


NJ has Pandolfo and Turner Stevenson out still, Sydora and Nemchinov will be back.

Rangers have Andreas Johansson back, but Messier told NY Post he might have season ending surgery on his shoulder. Still listed as day to day tho.

Rangers are in 8th and final playoff berth, with NJ ahead of them by a single point.

[FLII ME]

Chicago at Philadelphia
Chi 12-14-5 away, 33-18-9 on season
Phila 15-9-3 at home, 33-18-6 on season

Chi 5-4-1 last 10
Phil 4-5-1 last 10

Teams met once this season, Chi winning at home 2-1.
Flyers are 7-1 this season in rematch against team they lost to in first.
Phil 14-3 following a loss (6-2 at home). Chi 4-9 away following a win.

Phil 6-1 ATS last 7 meetings, going way back to '97

Chi has comfortable 75 points in 4th place in conference. They play 3 division leaders in last 10 road games of season, and four teams out of playoff hunt. Only division leader in last 12 home games.

Chi Tribune sez Amonte and Housley, back from Salt Lake, "will rejoin team monday, but will not practice" before team leaves for Phila.

Phil GM Clarke hopes LeClair and Roenick's fine olympic play will carryover to their return to NHL as "Primeau's did after Nagano".

Phil coach Barber sez Tocchet, out for the whole season with knee, will return tues night. Will play in fourth line for 8-10 mins a game for a while.

[FLII ME]

Guys am I posting this in the correct place???

Thanks

[ken_valyi]

It's fine with me.

My only question from what site do you get those summaries? That's pretty damn cool.

[FLII ME]

I don't think Mr. Frez would allow me to post the site, it is competition so lets just say guys i will post every info I come across, cool?

[ChrisFrez]

It's cool man, i'm not against posting other sites at all. The more the merrier :)

[FLII ME]

usatoday.com
covers.com
nytimes.com

are just a few

[FLII ME]

OTTAWA VS MONTREAL
Ottawa away is 3-12 when scoring 2 goals or less
Ottawa away is 3-13 when scoring 3 goals or less
Ottawa away is 10-0 when scoring 4 goals or more
Montreal at home is 8-2 when allowing 2 goals or less
Montreal at home is 1-8 when allowing 3 goals or more.

Ottawa away is 6-0 when allowing 2 goals or less
Ottawa away is 5-13 when allowing 3 goals or more
Montreal at home is 4-7 when scoring 2 goals or less
Montreal at home is 10-3 when scoring 3 goals or more

This is a “no go” for me. Ottawa has way too much offensive potential for me to take a guess that they wont be able to go thru Theodore. I do like Montreal in this spot but I just cant go whit a team that had so many problems scoring in the last few games.

If i do anything i might give Montreal and the under a small shut, but only as a parlay, and as a small play.





LOS ANGELES VS COLOMBUS
Los Angeles against teams whit a goal against average over 2,80 is 1 ”over” and 6 under
Colombus goal against per game is at 2,88 so I will take a look at UNDER aspect of the game

The under is 3-1 in last 5 meetings
Under is 5-1 in L.A last 5 games.

Los Angeles away is 1-7 when they score 2 goals or less (36%)
Los Angeles away is 13-1 when they score 3 goals or more (64%)
Colombus is 6-1 when they allow 2 goals or less (30%)
Colombus is 3-13 when they allow 3 goals or more (70%)

>>>>The match up of these off/def gives us a “medium” value for L.A to score 3 goals or more and if that is the case L.A has “very high” chances to come out has a winner.

>>>>When L.A goes against an opponent giving 2,80 goals or more, they scored more than 3 goals in 3 games, and exactly 2 in 4 games.

Colombus at home is 1-8 when they score 2 goals or less (45%)
Colombus at home is 9-2 when they score 3 goals or more (55%)
Los Angeles away is 11-2 when they allow 2 goals or less (46%)
Los Angeles away is 1-10 when they allow 3 goals or more (54%)
No significant numbers, we have to take a look deeper into such scenarios happened this years.

>>>>>When L.A goes away against an offense under 2,45 goal per game they are allowing those opponents to score 0-1-2 times in 7 games and 3 goals or more in 3 games. This gives strong value to Colombus 1-8 and Los Angeles 11-2.

>>>>>When Colombus goes against a defense giving 2,35 or less goals at home they are 1 win- 8 lost- 2 ties. During those games they score an average of 1.36 goals, Los Angeles away when they allow 2 goals or less they are 11-2.

>>>>>>Out of 11 games at home against defense giving 2,35 goals or less, 8 went for 2 goals or less, which represent 72% of those games.


THIS IS GIVING ME A STRONG VALU FOR LA -.5 AND MEDIUM VALU ON THE UNDER.

[FLII ME]

FLORIDA WASHINGTON
Florida away when scoring 2 goals or less is 3-11
Florida away when scoring 3 goals or more is 7-0
Washington at home allowing 2 goals or less is 12-1
Washington at home allowing 3 goals or more is 1-9

Washington at home when scoring 2 goals or less is 2-7
Washington at home when scoring 3 goals or more is 12-2
Florida away when allowing 2 goals or less is 3-3
Florida away when allowing 3 goals or more is 1-13

>>>>Florida allowing 3 goals or more in 70% of its away game and when Washington scores more than 3 goals at home they are 12-2




CAROLINA VS TORONTO
>>>>Toronto offense is at 2.92, Carolina on the road against offense over 2.75 is 2 wins-8 lost and 2 tie.(for ats record of 4-8, being outscored 28 to 44 for a 3.66 GAA. Since Toronto is an offensive team at home, In 75% of home game they have score 3 goals or more I don’t see how Carolina can limit >>>>Toronto to less than 3 goals. In such case Toronto is 16-2.
>>>>Toronto at home, when playing teams that have +/- the same profile as Carolina, is 3 over in 3 and won two out of 3 in such a position and 6.60 goals per game where scored in such situation.

Carolina away scoring 2 goals or less 0-7
Carolina away scoring 3 goals or more 12-3
Toronto At home allowing 3 goals or less 14-4
Toronto at home allowing 4 goals or more 1-4

Toronto at home scoring 2 goals or less 2-4 (25%)
Toronto at home scoring 3 goals or more 16-2 (75%)
Carolina away allowing 3 goals or less 10-4
Carolina away allowing 4 goals or more 1-9

Looking at Toronto and the over in this one.




BUFFALO ATLANTA

Buffalo away when scoring 2 goals or less 0-13
Buffalo away when scoring 3 goals or more 9-2
Tampa at home allowing 2 goals or less 6-2
Tampa at home allowing 3 goals or more 4-18


Buffalo away when allowing 2 goals or less 8-0 (22%)
Buffalo away when allowing 3 goals or more 1-16 (68%)
Atlanta at home scoring 3 goals or less 4-13 (81%)
Atlanta at home scoring 4 goals or more 4-0 (19%)

>>>Had some trouble whit my numbers for ATLANTA but if I’m correct, Atlanta when playing against a team whit GF under 2.70 and GA under 2.85 per game is 7 over/2 under and 2 push. Buffalo comes into this situation.
In those games Atlanta is 5wins/5 loss/3 tie that’s straight up; ATS I don’t have the numbers for this team but should be the same.
>>>Buffalo away against team whit GA>2.80(Atlanta is at 3.59) is 3 0ver-1under-1push. In those games they are 3 win and 2 loss.
>>>Buffalo when playing an off whit GF<2.50(Atlanta is at 2.35) is 1 over – 7 under and 2 push

DETROIT VS TAMPA BAY
>>>Tampa bay at home against offense over 2.80 per game is 1 win-6lost and 1 tie.
>>>Of those 6 losses, 5 where by one goal and one by 3 goals. Considering this, the line at +1.5 for Tampa has value.

Detroit away when scoring 2 goals or less is 4-5
Detroit away when scoring 3 goals or more is 11-2
Tampa Bay at home scoring 2 goals or less 3-11
Tampa at home scoring 3 goals or more 7-1

Detroit away allowing 2 goals or less 8-1
Detroit away allowing 3 goals or more 3-7
Tampa bay at home allowing 2 goals or less 5-3
Tampa at home allowing 3 goals or more 1-10




SANJOSE vs NASHVILLE
>>>>San José away against team whit off under 2,50 is 9 over and 2 under. Nash is border line to that stats whit an off at 2,51.
>>>>Nashville at home playing against team same profile as San Jose when loosing goes over or p and when winning goes under

San jose away scoring 2 goals or less is 1-8
San jose away scoring 3 goals or more 13-2


ST LOUIS VANCOUVER
Saint-Louis away when scoring 3 goals or less 5-10 (71%)
Saint-Louis away when scoring 4 goals or more 6-0 (29%)
Vancouver at home allowing 2 goals or less 13-3 (70%)
Vancouver at home allowing 3 goals or more 0-7 (30%)

Saint louis away allowing 2 goals or less 8-5
Saint louis away allowing 3 goals or more 1-8
Vancouver at home scoring 2 goals or less 1-6 (27%)
Vancouver at home scoring 3 goals or more 15-4 (73%)

>>>>Saint-Louis when allowing 3 goals or more on the road is 1-8.
>>>>Vancouver at home against a team playing GAA 2,40 goals or less they are 1 over 8 under and their SU record is at 3Win-3Loss-3tie.
>>>>Saint Louis away against offense of over 2.75 per game are SU: 3W-5L-1T
5 OVER-4 UNDER

I will take Vancouver and the under.